Simulation of meteorological parameters under influence of climate change for years 2030-2011 and 2065-2046 in LARS-WG5 software

Akhondi Khalfi, Amirmohammad; Zare Bidoki, Rafat; Fazeli Attar, Seyedeh Rozita

Simulation of meteorological parameters under influence of climate change for years 2030-2011 and 2065-2046 in LARS-WG5 software

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

Amirmohammad Akhondi khalfi

Rafat Zare bidoki ¹

Seyedeh Rozita Fazeli attar ²

¹ PhD of range and watershed, assistant professor of resources and geosciences- faculty of Shahrekord university, Shahrekord, Iran.

² MSc of natural resources engineering - environment -Yazd - Iran

Abstract

Climate Change means a significant change during a long period of time such as some decades or more. Climate change is one of the most important environmental challenges that many researches concentrate on it. Yazd – Ardakan plain is one of the plains in arid areas that is encountering many climatic problems because of increasing industrial factories and air pollution in recent years. The purpose of this research is analyzing meteorological parameters in Yazd – Ardakan plain affecting by climate change and predicting temperature and precipitation data in future regarding by different scenarios. So temperature and precipitation data of weather stations of Yazd – Ardakan plain during 1974-2010 selected as basis period and changes of them simulated by using of two general circulation models of the atmosphere and small scale making process according to scenarios A2 and B1. Results showed temperature will be increase in all seasons and precipitation almost decreases in winter and autumn and will be increased in spring and summer.

Keywords

“Climate Change"

"predicting"

"simulating"

"General Circulation Model"

"Statistical Downscaling"